Preseason Rankings
Florida A&M
Mid-Eastern
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#318
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.9#142
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#324
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#296
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.1% 15.2% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 25.7% 47.2% 19.9%
.500 or above in Conference 34.6% 46.9% 31.3%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.8% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 1.9% 4.4%
First Four9.5% 13.6% 8.4%
First Round4.7% 7.7% 3.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Away) - 21.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 48 - 68 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 241   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 64-72 21%    
  Dec 01, 2020 271   California Baptist L 72-76 36%    
  Dec 04, 2020 97   @ South Florida L 56-75 4%    
  Dec 06, 2020 113   @ Nebraska L 68-85 6%    
  Dec 12, 2020 29   @ Oklahoma L 61-86 1%    
  Dec 18, 2020 63   @ Georgia Tech L 60-83 3%    
  Jan 02, 2021 59   @ South Carolina L 65-88 2%    
  Jan 09, 2021 293   @ NC Central L 66-72 31%    
  Jan 11, 2021 309   @ N.C. A&T L 74-79 35%    
  Jan 16, 2021 347   South Carolina St. W 77-66 83%    
  Jan 23, 2021 309   N.C. A&T W 77-76 55%    
  Jan 25, 2021 293   NC Central W 69-68 50%    
  Jan 30, 2021 347   South Carolina St. W 77-66 83%    
  Feb 06, 2021 309   @ N.C. A&T L 74-79 35%    
  Feb 08, 2021 293   @ NC Central L 66-72 31%    
  Feb 10, 2021 347   @ South Carolina St. W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 20, 2021 309   N.C. A&T W 77-76 55%    
  Feb 22, 2021 293   NC Central W 69-68 51%    
  Mar 04, 2021 347   @ South Carolina St. W 74-69 68%    
Projected Record 7 - 12 6 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 1.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 2.5 4.0 3.5 2.1 0.7 13.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.0 6.3 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.1 18.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.1 7.5 3.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 18.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 5.0 7.3 3.3 0.8 0.1 17.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 4.4 5.1 1.5 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.7 1.5 0.1 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.3 1.1 0.2 5.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.0 9th
10th 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.6 10th
Total 0.4 1.6 3.6 6.6 10.3 12.7 14.7 15.4 13.5 10.2 6.4 3.4 1.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 33.2% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 17.1% 0.6    0.2 0.4 0.0
10-6 9.4% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-7 2.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 1.1% 48.9% 48.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6
11-5 3.4% 35.3% 35.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 2.2
10-6 6.4% 28.5% 28.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 4.6
9-7 10.2% 18.0% 18.0% 16.0 1.8 8.3
8-8 13.5% 13.0% 13.0% 16.0 0.0 1.8 11.8
7-9 15.4% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 1.4 14.0
6-10 14.7% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.8 13.9
5-11 12.7% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.5 12.3
4-12 10.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 10.2
3-13 6.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.5
2-14 3.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.6
1-15 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
0-16 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 10.1% 10.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.0 89.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%